![]() Possible Climate Futures and their Impacts ![]() Improved knowledge of climate processes, paleoclimate evidence and the response of the climate system to increasing radiative forcing gives a best estimate of equilibrium climate sensitivity of 3☌, with a narrower range compared to AR5.Evidence of observed changes in extremes such as heatwaves, heavy precipitation, droughts, and tropical cyclones, and, in particular, their attribution to human influence, has strengthened since the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Human-induced climate change is already affecting many weather and climate extremes in every region across the globe.Exceptionally unlikely (0-1% probability)įigure SPM.1 from IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, WG1.About as likely as not (33 to 66% probability).Virtually certain (99-100% probability).The IPCC provides calibrated language to estimate the likelihood of a single event or an outcome (indicated in italic in the reports, as described in AR5):.Naturally, feel free to read it entirely… ![]() The full report should be used as an encyclopedia > to go into a thematic in-depth. Tip: read the summary, several times, if necessary, as well as the technical summary, if possible.
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